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E. Natasha Stavros E. Natasha Stavros
Ph.D. Student
Fire & Mountain Ecology Lab
2010 - present

Phone: (858) 254-5939
Email: stavros @ u.washington.edu 


Degrees:

  M.S., Environmental Sustainability
  University of Edinburgh, Scotland

  B.A., Mathematics, Computer Science (minor)
  University of Colorado, Boulder

Curriculum Vitae (Adobe Acrobat PDF)

Dissertation Title:

Model Evaluation of the Fire Scenario Builder (FSB): development, validation and application

Description of work:

The Fire Scenario Builder (FSB) was originally developed in 2006 for integration into air quality modeling frameworks. FSB is a regional or sub-continental wildfire simulator that uses climate, weather, vegetation and historical expected area burned to stochastically produce a list of fire locations, size, ignition start date and duration. Simulating wildfire across broad spatial scales with fine temporal resolution can help improve understanding of the climate-wildfire-air quality system. Better understanding and quantification of consequent emissions from regional wildfire can help directly and indirectly meet current and shape new air quality regulations. This dissertation conducts model evaluation at each stage of the FSB version 3 life cycle: development, validation and application. The evaluation will establish guidelines for appropriate use of the model in future applications.